CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
50%38%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +12%megoshort · 4 maps
Dust2megoshort pick
50%43%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%megoshort · 3 maps
Defaultmegoshort ban
50%33%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +17%megoshort · 2 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
50%60%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge megoshort +10%megoshort · 1 map
Overpassmegoshort ban
50%40%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%megoshort · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
2. Banmegoshort remove Default
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. Pickmegoshort take Dust2
5. Banmegoshort remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Mai Tai 67%megoshort 33%
The model gave 67% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 59%
Series resultMai Tai 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1