Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
35%65%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
42%60%
Mai Tai · 15 mapsedge Raccoons +18%Raccoons · 6 maps
DefaultRaccoons pick
39%50%
Mai Tai · 14 mapsedge Raccoons +11%Raccoons · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
42%50%
Mai Tai · 8 mapsedge Raccoons +8%Raccoons · 2 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
38%50%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Raccoons +12%Raccoons · 2 maps
NukeMai Tai ban
33%60%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Raccoons +27%Raccoons · 1 map
AnubisRaccoons ban
33%50%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Raccoons +17%Raccoons · 0 maps
CacheRaccoons ban
50%50%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Raccoons · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Nuke
2. BanRaccoons remove Cache
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickRaccoons take Default
5. BanRaccoons remove Anubis
6. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (42% / 50%)