ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
52%48%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMARKandLARRY pick
38%50%
MARKandLARRY · 4 mapsedge LFO 8 +12%LFO 8 · 0 maps
AnubisLFO 8 ban
43%50%
MARKandLARRY · 3 mapsedge LFO 8 +7%LFO 8 · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%40%
MARKandLARRY · 2 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +10%LFO 8 · 1 map
MirageLFO 8 ban
50%50%
MARKandLARRY · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 8 · 0 maps
OverpassMARKandLARRY ban
50%50%
MARKandLARRY · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 8 · 0 maps
AncientLFO 8 pick
50%40%
MARKandLARRY · 0 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +10%LFO 8 · 1 map
NukeMARKandLARRY ban
40%50%
MARKandLARRY · 1 mapedge LFO 8 +10%LFO 8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMARKandLARRY remove Nuke
2. BanLFO 8 remove Mirage
3. PickMARKandLARRY take Inferno
4. PickLFO 8 take Ancient
5. BanLFO 8 remove Anubis
6. BanMARKandLARRY remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (50% / 40%)