ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Marsborne#104 in the worldseries probability
49%51%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Chicken Coop#188 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMarsborne pick
75%62%
Marsborne · 8 mapsedge Marsborne +13%Chicken Coop · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
69%75%
Marsborne · 9 mapsedge Chicken Coop +6%Chicken Coop · 4 maps
OverpassChicken Coop pick
50%67%
Marsborne · 4 mapsedge Chicken Coop +17%Chicken Coop · 5 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
50%60%
Marsborne · 2 mapsedge Chicken Coop +10%Chicken Coop · 6 maps
MirageChicken Coop ban
64%60%
Marsborne · 7 mapsnearly even +4%Chicken Coop · 1 map
AnubisChicken Coop ban
63%40%
Marsborne · 4 mapsedge Marsborne +23%Chicken Coop · 1 map
NukeMarsborne ban
50%57%
Marsborne · 2 mapsedge Chicken Coop +7%Chicken Coop · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
2. BanChicken Coop remove Anubis
3. PickMarsborne take Inferno
4. PickChicken Coop take Overpass
5. BanChicken Coop remove Mirage
6. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (69% / 75%)