ESEA Advanced Season 58 North America · BO3
pre-match prediction
Marsborne#84 in the worldseries probability
60%40%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMarsborne pick
63%50%
Marsborne · 12 mapsedge Marsborne +13%For Fun · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%63%
Marsborne · 11 mapsnearly even -3%For Fun · 4 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
58%50%
Marsborne · 8 mapsedge Marsborne +8%For Fun · 4 maps
MirageFor Fun ban
70%44%
Marsborne · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +26%For Fun · 5 maps
NukeMarsborne ban
56%44%
Marsborne · 5 mapsedge Marsborne +12%For Fun · 5 maps
AnubisFor Fun ban
67%50%
Marsborne · 5 mapsedge Marsborne +17%For Fun · 2 maps
DefaultFor Fun pick
67%50%
Marsborne · 2 mapsedge Marsborne +17%For Fun · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
2. BanFor Fun remove Anubis
3. PickMarsborne take Ancient
4. PickFor Fun take Default
5. BanFor Fun remove Mirage
6. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (60% / 63%)