CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MASONIC#187 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMASONIC pick
50%57%
MASONIC · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +7%Rune Eaters · 3 maps
InfernoMASONIC ban
50%50%
MASONIC · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%40%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge MASONIC +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
NukeRune Eaters ban
50%40%
MASONIC · 2 mapsedge MASONIC +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
MirageMASONIC ban
50%33%
MASONIC · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
AnubisRune Eaters ban
60%50%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge MASONIC +10%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
OverpassRune Eaters pick
40%50%
MASONIC · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +10%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASONIC remove Mirage
2. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
3. PickMASONIC take Ancient
4. PickRune Eaters take Overpass
5. BanRune Eaters remove Anubis
6. BanMASONIC remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
MASONIC 50%Rune Eaters 50%
The model gave 50% on MASONIC — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteMASONIC · 57%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1