POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO3
result vs prediction
MASQloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWashed pick
60%50%
MASQ · 1 mapedge MASQ +10%Washed · 2 maps
InfernoMASQ pick
60%60%
MASQ · 1 mapnearly even +0%Washed · 1 map
MirageMASQ ban
50%50%
MASQ · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Washed · 2 maps
AncientWashed ban
60%50%
MASQ · 1 mapedge MASQ +10%Washed · 0 maps
AnubisMASQ ban
50%60%
MASQ · 0 mapsedge Washed +10%Washed · 1 map
OverpassWashed ban
40%50%
MASQ · 1 mapedge Washed +10%Washed · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMASQ remove Anubis
2. BanWashed remove Overpass
3. PickMASQ take Inferno
4. PickWashed take Nuke
5. BanWashed remove Ancient
6. BanMASQ remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
MASQ 53%Washed 47%
The model gave 53% on MASQ — the map was taken by Washed.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
MASQ 57%Washed 43%
The model gave 57% on MASQ — the map was taken by Washed.
Model check result
Model favoriteMASQ · 50%
Series resultWashed 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2