NSTLGA Emerald Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionMOMaster Oneloss 0:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
KODEX#242 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMaster One pick
50%29%
Master One · 0 mapsedge Master One +21%KODEX · 3 maps
NukeKODEX ban
50%33%
Master One · 0 mapsedge Master One +17%KODEX · 2 maps
AnubisKODEX pick
50%40%
Master One · 0 mapsedge Master One +10%KODEX · 1 map
DefaultMaster One ban
50%60%
Master One · 0 mapsedge KODEX +10%KODEX · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMaster One remove Default
2. BanKODEX remove Nuke
3. PickMaster One take Ancient
4. PickKODEX take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Master One 40%KODEX 60%
The model gave 60% on KODEX — the map was taken by KODEX.
Model check result
Model favoriteKODEX · 51%
Series resultKODEX 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1