CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
MAYBE#173 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
eternal premium#208 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMAYBE pick
57%46%
MAYBE · 10 mapsedge MAYBE +11%eternal premium · 9 maps
AncientMAYBE ban
33%70%
MAYBE · 8 mapsedge eternal premium +37%eternal premium · 6 maps
Dust2eternal premium ban
36%29%
MAYBE · 7 mapsedge MAYBE +7%eternal premium · 3 maps
AnubisMAYBE ban
43%44%
MAYBE · 3 mapsnearly even -1%eternal premium · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%44%
MAYBE · 1 mapedge MAYBE +16%eternal premium · 5 maps
Cacheeternal premium ban
44%50%
MAYBE · 5 mapsedge eternal premium +6%eternal premium · 0 maps
Nukeeternal premium pick
50%50%
MAYBE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%eternal premium · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAYBE remove Ancient
2. Baneternal premium remove Cache
3. PickMAYBE take Mirage
4. Picketernal premium take Nuke
5. Baneternal premium remove Dust2
6. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
MAYBE 16%eternal premium 84%
The model gave 84% on eternal premium — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
MAYBE 64%eternal premium 36%
The model gave 64% on MAYBE — the map was taken by eternal premium.
Dust2prediction correct16:14
MAYBE 59%eternal premium 41%
The model gave 59% on MAYBE — the map was taken by MAYBE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAYBE · 54%
Series resultMAYBE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3