HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
MAYBE#176 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
RBLS#83 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientRBLS pick
38%50%
MAYBE · 4 mapsedge RBLS +12%RBLS · 0 maps
MirageMAYBE pick
50%50%
MAYBE · 4 mapsnearly even +0%RBLS · 0 maps
Dust2MAYBE ban
29%50%
MAYBE · 3 mapsedge RBLS +21%RBLS · 0 maps
AnubisMAYBE ban
50%50%
MAYBE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%RBLS · 0 maps
DefaultRBLS ban
60%50%
MAYBE · 1 mapedge MAYBE +10%RBLS · 0 maps
NukeRBLS ban
60%50%
MAYBE · 1 mapedge MAYBE +10%RBLS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMAYBE remove Dust2
2. BanRBLS remove Nuke
3. PickMAYBE take Mirage
4. PickRBLS take Ancient
5. BanRBLS remove Default
6. BanMAYBE remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed1:13
MAYBE 53%RBLS 47%
The model gave 53% on MAYBE — the map was taken by RBLS.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
MAYBE 26%RBLS 74%
The model gave 74% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 52%
Series resultRBLS 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2