CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
megoshort#179 in the world · win 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientmegoshort pick
57%40%
megoshort · 10 mapsedge megoshort +17%train launcher · 1 map
Miragetrain launcher pick
47%50%
megoshort · 11 mapsnearly even -3%train launcher · 0 maps
Dust2train launcher ban
54%50%
megoshort · 9 mapsnearly even +4%train launcher · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%40%
megoshort · 6 mapsnearly even +0%train launcher · 1 map
Cachetrain launcher ban
56%40%
megoshort · 5 mapsedge megoshort +16%train launcher · 1 map
Infernomegoshort ban
44%40%
megoshort · 5 mapsnearly even +4%train launcher · 1 map
Anubismegoshort ban
57%50%
megoshort · 3 mapsedge megoshort +7%train launcher · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
2. Bantrain launcher remove Dust2
3. Pickmegoshort take Ancient
4. Picktrain launcher take Mirage
5. Bantrain launcher remove Cache
6. Banmegoshort remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
megoshort 50%train launcher 50%
The model gave 50% on megoshort — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoritemegoshort · 56%
Series resultmegoshort 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1