CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMEIA NOITE pick
38%50%
MEIA NOITE · 9 mapsedge Mira +12%Mira · 0 maps
AncientMira pick
25%50%
MEIA NOITE · 8 mapsedge Mira +25%Mira · 0 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
33%50%
MEIA NOITE · 5 mapsedge Mira +17%Mira · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
MEIA NOITE · 5 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +6%Mira · 0 maps
DefaultMira ban
75%50%
MEIA NOITE · 4 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +25%Mira · 0 maps
InfernoMira ban
57%50%
MEIA NOITE · 3 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +7%Mira · 0 maps
NukeMEIA NOITE ban
50%50%
MEIA NOITE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Mira · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
2. BanMira remove Default
3. PickMEIA NOITE take Mirage
4. PickMira take Ancient
5. BanMira remove Inferno
6. BanMEIA NOITE remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
MEIA NOITE 53%Mira 47%
The model gave 53% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by Mira.
Ancientprediction missed16:12
MEIA NOITE 27%Mira 73%
The model gave 73% on Mira — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Nukeprediction missed16:19
MEIA NOITE 50%Mira 50%
The model gave 50% on MEIA NOITE — the map was taken by Mira.
Model check result
Model favoriteMira · 51%
Series resultMira 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3