CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#91 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Falcons Force#134 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
61%50%
mellren · 37 mapsedge mellren +11%Falcons Force · 12 maps
InfernoFalcons Force pick
56%53%
mellren · 21 mapnearly even +3%Falcons Force · 13 maps
AncientFalcons Force ban
70%56%
mellren · 26 mapsedge mellren +14%Falcons Force · 5 maps
Nukemellren ban
19%33%
mellren · 17 mapsedge Falcons Force +14%Falcons Force · 11 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
57%50%
mellren · 17 mapsedge mellren +7%Falcons Force · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
64%55%
mellren · 10 mapsedge mellren +9%Falcons Force · 7 maps
Cachemellren ban
33%57%
mellren · 2 mapsedge Falcons Force +24%Falcons Force · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickFalcons Force take Inferno
5. BanFalcons Force remove Ancient
6. Banmellren remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (64% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
mellren 50%Falcons Force 50%
The model gave 50% on mellren — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 50%
Series resultFalcons Force 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1