CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#94 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
FORZE Reload#70 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
70%46%
mellren · 23 mapsedge mellren +24%FORZE Reload · 9 maps
Dust2mellren ban
62%64%
mellren · 9 mapsnearly even -2%FORZE Reload · 10 maps
NukeFORZE Reload pick
21%69%
mellren · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +48%FORZE Reload · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
72%63%
mellren · 14 mapsedge mellren +9%FORZE Reload · 4 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
59%50%
mellren · 13 mapsedge mellren +9%FORZE Reload · 0 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
67%45%
mellren · 5 mapsedge mellren +22%FORZE Reload · 7 maps
Cachemellren ban
50%69%
mellren · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +19%FORZE Reload · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
6. Banmellren remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (72% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
mellren 10%FORZE Reload 90%
The model gave 90% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
mellren 76%FORZE Reload 24%
The model gave 76% on mellren — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 59%
Series resultFORZE Reload 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2