CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GUARA#234 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GUARA ban
55%25%
METANOIA Wolves · 7 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +30%GUARA · 4 maps
AncientGUARA ban
44%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsnearly even +4%GUARA · 1 map
NukeMETANOIA Wolves pick
57%29%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +28%GUARA · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge GUARA +10%GUARA · 2 maps
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%29%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +11%GUARA · 3 maps
AnubisGUARA pick
33%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge GUARA +17%GUARA · 0 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 0 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%GUARA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanGUARA remove Dust2
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Nuke
4. PickGUARA take Anubis
5. BanGUARA remove Ancient
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (57% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
METANOIA Wolves 80%GUARA 20%
The model gave 80% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
METANOIA Wolves 47%GUARA 53%
The model gave 53% on GUARA — the map was taken by GUARA.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
METANOIA Wolves 60%GUARA 40%
The model gave 60% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by GUARA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 61%
Series resultGUARA 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3