CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MAGICOSwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
58%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 8 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +8%MAGICOS · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +6%MAGICOS · 2 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves ban
44%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsnearly even +4%MAGICOS · 1 map
NukeMAGICOS ban
57%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%MAGICOS · 0 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
33%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge MAGICOS +17%MAGICOS · 0 maps
InfernoMAGICOS pick
40%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapnearly even +0%MAGICOS · 1 map
CacheMAGICOS ban
40%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
2. BanMAGICOS remove Nuke
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickMAGICOS take Inferno
5. BanMAGICOS remove Cache
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
METANOIA Wolves 53%MAGICOS 47%
The model gave 53% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
METANOIA Wolves 47%MAGICOS 53%
The model gave 53% on MAGICOS — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Dust2prediction missed19:22
METANOIA Wolves 58%MAGICOS 42%
The model gave 58% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 54%
Series resultMAGICOS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3