CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · win 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
58%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 8 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +18%Vasco · 6 maps
DefaultVasco ban
57%25%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +32%Vasco · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
44%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge Vasco +23%Vasco · 2 maps
InfernoVasco pick
40%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge Vasco +10%Vasco · 6 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%44%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapnearly even -4%Vasco · 5 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
33%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge Vasco +7%Vasco · 1 map
NukeVasco ban
57%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +7%Vasco · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanVasco remove Nuke
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickVasco take Inferno
5. BanVasco remove Default
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (44% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
METANOIA Wolves 80%Vasco 20%
The model gave 80% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by METANOIA Wolves.
Model check result
Model favoriteVasco · 51%
Series resultMETANOIA Wolves 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1