CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:1
VEXA#257 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
58%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 8 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +8%VEXA · 6 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves ban
44%57%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsedge VEXA +13%VEXA · 3 maps
AnubisVEXA pick
33%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge VEXA +34%VEXA · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
63%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsnearly even -4%VEXA · 2 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
40%38%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapnearly even +2%VEXA · 4 maps
InfernoVEXA ban
40%29%
METANOIA Wolves · 1 mapedge METANOIA Wolves +11%VEXA · 3 maps
NukeVEXA ban
57%40%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +17%VEXA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanVEXA remove Nuke
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickVEXA take Anubis
5. BanVEXA remove Inferno
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (63% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
METANOIA Wolves 45%VEXA 55%
The model gave 55% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Model check result
Model favoriteVEXA · 63%
Series resultVEXA 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1