Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Metizport#52 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
53%55%
Metizport · 11 mapsnearly even -2%ASTRAL · 7 maps
AncientASTRAL pick
60%69%
Metizport · 6 mapsedge ASTRAL +9%ASTRAL · 9 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
62%44%
Metizport · 9 mapsedge Metizport +18%ASTRAL · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%43%
Metizport · 9 mapsedge Metizport +11%ASTRAL · 3 maps
AnubisASTRAL ban
63%40%
Metizport · 4 mapsedge Metizport +23%ASTRAL · 6 maps
CacheMetizport ban
50%40%
Metizport · 2 mapsedge Metizport +10%ASTRAL · 1 map
Dust2Metizport ban
50%57%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge ASTRAL +7%ASTRAL · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Anubis
6. BanMetizport remove Cache
DeciderInferno (54% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
Metizport 57%ASTRAL 43%
The model gave 57% on Metizport — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Metizport 52%ASTRAL 48%
The model gave 52% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
Metizport 71%ASTRAL 29%
The model gave 71% on Metizport — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 52%
Series resultASTRAL 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3