Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Metizport#75 in the worldseries probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Bushido Wildcats#73 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Metizport ban
50%69%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +19%Bushido Wildcats · 25 maps
NukeMetizport pick
54%50%
Metizport · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Bushido Wildcats · 16 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
67%60%
Metizport · 8 mapsedge Metizport +7%Bushido Wildcats · 16 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%60%
Metizport · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 6 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
63%67%
Metizport · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Bushido Wildcats · 5 maps
CacheMetizport ban
50%55%
Metizport · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%Bushido Wildcats · 7 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
60%40%
Metizport · 6 mapsedge Metizport +20%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanMetizport remove Cache
DeciderInferno (50% / 60%)