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CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VEXA#257 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMIBR Academy ban
50%57%
MIBR Academy · 8 mapsedge VEXA +7%VEXA · 3 maps
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
33%50%
MIBR Academy · 5 mapsedge VEXA +17%VEXA · 6 maps
MirageMIBR Academy pick
55%38%
MIBR Academy · 7 mapsedge MIBR Academy +17%VEXA · 4 maps
NukeVEXA ban
67%40%
MIBR Academy · 8 mapsedge MIBR Academy +27%VEXA · 1 map
AnubisVEXA pick
50%67%
MIBR Academy · 2 mapsedge VEXA +17%VEXA · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%71%
MIBR Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +0%VEXA · 3 maps
OverpassVEXA ban
38%50%
MIBR Academy · 4 mapsedge VEXA +12%VEXA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
2. BanVEXA remove Nuke
3. PickMIBR Academy take Mirage
4. PickVEXA take Anubis
5. BanVEXA remove Overpass
6. BanMIBR Academy remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (71% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
MIBR Academy 31%VEXA 69%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
MIBR Academy 77%VEXA 23%
The model gave 77% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by VEXA.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
MIBR Academy 43%VEXA 57%
The model gave 57% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Model check result
Model favoriteVEXA · 52%
Series resultVEXA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3