IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#28 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EYEBALLERS#42 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEYEBALLERS ban
54%33%
MIBR · 9 mapsedge MIBR +21%EYEBALLERS · 5 maps
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
30%73%
MIBR · 6 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +43%EYEBALLERS · 7 maps
InfernoMIBR ban
55%56%
MIBR · 7 mapsnearly even -1%EYEBALLERS · 5 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
62%33%
MIBR · 9 mapsedge MIBR +29%EYEBALLERS · 2 maps
CacheMIBR pick
71%29%
MIBR · 3 mapsedge MIBR +42%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%57%
MIBR · 2 mapsedge MIBR +10%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
50%33%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge MIBR +17%EYEBALLERS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Dust2
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
3. PickMIBR take Cache
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Mirage
6. BanMIBR remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
MIBR 12%EYEBALLERS 88%
The model gave 88% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by MIBR.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
MIBR 52%EYEBALLERS 48%
The model gave 52% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 62%
Series resultMIBR 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2