?
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
47%75%
Misa · 28 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +28%Bushido Wildcats · 36 maps
MirageMisa ban
45%57%
Misa · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Bushido Wildcats · 26 maps
NukeMisa ban
50%54%
Misa · 16 mapsnearly even -4%Bushido Wildcats · 24 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%57%
Misa · 22 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +7%Bushido Wildcats · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
44%60%
Misa · 21 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +16%Bushido Wildcats · 11 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
53%38%
Misa · 11 mapsedge Misa +15%Bushido Wildcats · 9 maps
DefaultBushido Wildcats pick
33%75%
Misa · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +42%Bushido Wildcats · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Mirage
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Default
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanMisa remove Nuke
DeciderCache (44% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Misa 37%Bushido Wildcats 63%
The model gave 63% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Misa 36%Bushido Wildcats 64%
The model gave 64% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Misa.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Misa 43%Bushido Wildcats 57%
The model gave 57% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 56%
Series resultMisa 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3