CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
57%50%
Misa · 26 mapsedge Misa +7%Mai Tai · 2 maps
MirageMai Tai pick
45%40%
Misa · 16 mapsedge Misa +5%Mai Tai · 6 maps
NukeMisa ban
50%60%
Misa · 12 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%Mai Tai · 1 map
AnubisMai Tai ban
44%50%
Misa · 12 mapsedge Mai Tai +6%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%45%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +5%Mai Tai · 7 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
46%50%
Misa · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Mai Tai · 0 maps
CacheMisa ban
50%40%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +10%Mai Tai · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Nuke
2. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanMisa remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Misa 52%Mai Tai 48%
The model gave 52% on Misa — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
Misa 63%Mai Tai 37%
The model gave 63% on Misa — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 50%
Series resultMai Tai 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2