CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ROUNDS#231 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ROUNDS ban
54%40%
Misa · 24 mapsedge Misa +14%ROUNDS · 1 map
MirageROUNDS ban
45%38%
Misa · 16 mapsedge Misa +7%ROUNDS · 4 maps
InfernoMisa ban
46%50%
Misa · 9 mapsnearly even -4%ROUNDS · 4 maps
NukeMisa ban
43%43%
Misa · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ROUNDS · 3 maps
AnubisMisa pick
44%50%
Misa · 12 mapsedge ROUNDS +6%ROUNDS · 0 maps
DefaultROUNDS pick
50%71%
Misa · 4 mapsedge ROUNDS +21%ROUNDS · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%40%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +10%ROUNDS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Nuke
2. BanROUNDS remove Dust2
3. PickMisa take Anubis
4. PickROUNDS take Default
5. BanROUNDS remove Mirage
6. BanMisa remove Inferno
DeciderCache (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Misa 66%ROUNDS 34%
The model gave 66% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Misa 47%ROUNDS 53%
The model gave 53% on ROUNDS — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 60%
Series resultMisa 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2