CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SAW#61 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
63%56%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +7%SAW · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
38%43%
Misa · 4 mapsedge SAW +5%SAW · 3 maps
InfernoSAW pick
50%75%
Misa · 2 mapsedge SAW +25%SAW · 4 maps
MirageSAW ban
38%33%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +5%SAW · 2 maps
NukeMisa ban
43%33%
Misa · 3 mapsedge Misa +10%SAW · 2 maps
AncientMisa ban
50%38%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Misa +12%SAW · 4 maps
OverpassSAW ban
33%50%
Misa · 2 mapsedge SAW +17%SAW · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. BanSAW remove Overpass
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickSAW take Inferno
5. BanSAW remove Mirage
6. BanMisa remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (38% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Misa 23%SAW 77%
The model gave 77% on SAW — the map was taken by Misa.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
Misa 58%SAW 42%
The model gave 58% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW · 52%
Series resultMisa 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2