IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Monte#23 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM#13 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Monte pick
44%78%
Monte · 5 mapsedge BETBOOM +34%BETBOOM · 5 maps
NukeBETBOOM pick
43%55%
Monte · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +12%BETBOOM · 7 maps
AncientBETBOOM ban
50%50%
Monte · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BETBOOM · 2 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
57%29%
Monte · 3 mapsedge Monte +28%BETBOOM · 3 maps
AnubisMonte ban
60%67%
Monte · 1 mapedge BETBOOM +7%BETBOOM · 2 maps
OverpassMonte ban
40%40%
Monte · 1 mapnearly even +0%BETBOOM · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMonte remove Overpass
2. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
3. PickMonte take Dust2
4. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
5. BanBETBOOM remove Ancient
6. BanMonte remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
Monte 36%BETBOOM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Monte 79%BETBOOM 21%
The model gave 79% on Monte — the map was taken by Monte.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Monte 19%BETBOOM 81%
The model gave 81% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3