CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR#12 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMOUZ pick
70%50%
MOUZ · 6 mapsedge MOUZ +20%MIBR · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
64%50%
MOUZ · 7 mapsedge MOUZ +14%MIBR · 0 maps
InfernoMOUZ ban
56%40%
MOUZ · 5 mapsedge MOUZ +16%MIBR · 1 map
AncientMIBR pick
50%60%
MOUZ · 4 mapsedge MIBR +10%MIBR · 1 map
Dust2MIBR ban
50%50%
MOUZ · 4 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR · 0 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
71%50%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +21%MIBR · 0 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
50%60%
MOUZ · 0 mapsedge MIBR +10%MIBR · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. PickMOUZ take Mirage
4. PickMIBR take Ancient
5. BanMIBR remove Overpass
6. BanMOUZ remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:3
MOUZ 74%MIBR 26%
The model gave 74% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
MOUZ 37%MIBR 63%
The model gave 63% on MIBR — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 74%
Series resultMOUZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2