CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 7:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
50%33%
MOUZ · 2 mapsedge MOUZ +17%TYLOO · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
71%56%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +15%TYLOO · 5 maps
MirageMOUZ ban
57%78%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +21%TYLOO · 5 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
63%57%
MOUZ · 4 mapsedge MOUZ +6%TYLOO · 3 maps
OverpassMOUZ ban
50%75%
MOUZ · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +25%TYLOO · 4 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
57%50%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge MOUZ +7%TYLOO · 0 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
50%60%
MOUZ · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +10%TYLOO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. BanMOUZ remove Overpass
4. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
5. BanMOUZ remove Mirage
6. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (71% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
MOUZ 67%TYLOO 33%
The model gave 67% on MOUZ — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 75%
Series resultTYLOO 7:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1