Gamers Club Masters VII · BO3
result vs predictionNNAOCOPULAS#145 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN#40 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN pick
50%76%
NAOCOPULAS · 2 mapsedge paiN +26%paiN · 13 maps
CacheNAOCOPULAS ban
40%38%
NAOCOPULAS · 1 mapnearly even +2%paiN · 12 maps
MirageNAOCOPULAS pick
60%44%
NAOCOPULAS · 1 mapedge NAOCOPULAS +16%paiN · 12 maps
InfernopaiN ban
50%15%
NAOCOPULAS · 0 mapsedge NAOCOPULAS +35%paiN · 9 maps
AnubisNAOCOPULAS ban
50%55%
NAOCOPULAS · 0 mapsedge paiN +5%paiN · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%36%
NAOCOPULAS · 0 mapsedge NAOCOPULAS +14%paiN · 7 maps
AncientpaiN ban
60%50%
NAOCOPULAS · 1 mapedge NAOCOPULAS +10%paiN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAOCOPULAS remove Cache
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickNAOCOPULAS take Mirage
4. PickpaiN take Dust2
5. BanpaiN remove Inferno
6. BanNAOCOPULAS remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (50% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
NAOCOPULAS 68%paiN 32%
The model gave 68% on NAOCOPULAS — the map was taken by NAOCOPULAS.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
NAOCOPULAS 50%paiN 50%
The model gave 50% on paiN — the map was taken by NAOCOPULAS.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 83%
Series resultNAOCOPULAS 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2