Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nas#203 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Legion#194 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Legion ban
50%33%
Nas · 0 mapsedge Nas +17%Legion · 2 maps
DefaultNas ban
50%40%
Nas · 0 mapsedge Nas +10%Legion · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNas remove Default
2. BanLegion remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Nas 53%Legion 47%
The model gave 53% on Nas — the map was taken by Nas.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Nas 47%Legion 53%
The model gave 53% on Legion — the map was taken by Legion.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Nas 50%Legion 50%
The model gave 50% on Nas — the map was taken by Nas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNas · 50%
Series resultNas 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3