IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#2 in the world · win 2:1series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegion#14 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNatus Vincere pick
60%40%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +20%GamerLegion · 1 map
AnubisGamerLegion ban
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%GamerLegion · 0 maps
InfernoNatus Vincere ban
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
NukeGamerLegion pick
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Inferno
2. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
3. PickNatus Vincere take Mirage
4. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Natus Vincere 37%GamerLegion 63%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Ancientprediction missed1:13
Natus Vincere 53%GamerLegion 47%
The model gave 53% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Natus Vincere 69%GamerLegion 31%
The model gave 69% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 82%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3