IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#10 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Legacy#7 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
63%40%
Natus Vincere · 4 mapsedge Natus Vincere +23%Legacy · 1 map
MirageNatus Vincere pick
71%67%
Natus Vincere · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Legacy · 2 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
57%60%
Natus Vincere · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Legacy · 1 map
Dust2Legacy pick
50%67%
Natus Vincere · 2 mapsedge Legacy +17%Legacy · 2 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
40%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 2 maps
InfernoNatus Vincere ban
60%60%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapnearly even +0%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
2. BanLegacy remove Ancient
3. PickNatus Vincere take Mirage
4. PickLegacy take Dust2
5. BanLegacy remove Anubis
6. BanNatus Vincere remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Natus Vincere 47%Legacy 53%
The model gave 53% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Natus Vincere 74%Legacy 26%
The model gave 74% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Natus Vincere 33%Legacy 67%
The model gave 67% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 85%
Series resultLegacy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3