BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO5
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#10 in the world · loss 0:3series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:3
Vitality#4 in the world · win 3:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageVitality pick
60%71%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Vitality +11%Vitality · 3 maps
AncientVitality ban
71%50%
Natus Vincere · 3 mapsedge Natus Vincere +21%Vitality · 0 maps
Dust2Natus Vincere pick
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%Vitality · 2 maps
OverpassVitality pick
50%50%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Vitality · 2 maps
AnubisNatus Vincere pick
60%50%
Natus Vincere · 1 mapedge Natus Vincere +10%Vitality · 0 maps
NukeNatus Vincere ban
50%60%
Natus Vincere · 0 mapsedge Vitality +10%Vitality · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Nuke
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickNatus Vincere take Dust2
4. PickVitality take Overpass
5. PickNatus Vincere take Anubis
6. PickVitality take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct12:16
Natus Vincere 37%Vitality 63%
The model gave 63% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Natus Vincere 63%Vitality 37%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
Natus Vincere 57%Vitality 43%
The model gave 57% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 59%
Series resultVitality 0:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3