IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#6 in the world · win 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vitality#1 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Natus Vincere 47%Vitality 53%
The model gave 53% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Natus Vincere 53%Vitality 47%
The model gave 53% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
Natus Vincere 50%Vitality 50%
The model gave 50% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 59%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3