FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · win 13:9series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 13:9
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force ban
70%46%
NAVI Junior · 19 mapsedge NAVI Junior +24%Falcons Force · 9 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
39%33%
NAVI Junior · 19 mapsedge NAVI Junior +6%Falcons Force · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
59%60%
NAVI Junior · 13 mapsnearly even -1%Falcons Force · 6 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
38%31%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge NAVI Junior +7%Falcons Force · 9 maps
AncientNAVI Junior ban
29%57%
NAVI Junior · 10 mapsedge Falcons Force +28%Falcons Force · 3 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
38%69%
NAVI Junior · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +31%Falcons Force · 9 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
33%60%
NAVI Junior · 2 mapsedge Falcons Force +27%Falcons Force · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
4. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Ancient
6. BanFalcons Force remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (59% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
NAVI Junior 49%Falcons Force 51%
The model gave 51% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 58%
Series resultNAVI Junior 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1