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Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO3
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNAVI Junior pick
68%42%
NAVI Junior · 21 mapedge NAVI Junior +26%G2 Ares · 27 maps
Dust2possible decider
44%37%
NAVI Junior · 21 mapedge NAVI Junior +7%G2 Ares · 23 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
33%61%
NAVI Junior · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +28%G2 Ares · 32 maps
AncientG2 Ares pick
27%54%
NAVI Junior · 11 mapsedge G2 Ares +27%G2 Ares · 22 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
64%42%
NAVI Junior · 18 mapsedge NAVI Junior +22%G2 Ares · 8 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
33%47%
NAVI Junior · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +14%G2 Ares · 15 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
38%50%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
4. PickG2 Ares take Ancient
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (44% / 37%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
NAVI Junior 73%G2 Ares 27%
The model gave 73% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
NAVI Junior 33%G2 Ares 67%
The model gave 67% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
NAVI Junior 75%G2 Ares 25%
The model gave 75% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 60%
Series resultNAVI Junior 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3