FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 9:13series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 9:13
PURE#126 in the world · win 13:9The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePURE ban
70%40%
NAVI Junior · 19 mapsedge NAVI Junior +30%PURE · 6 maps
Dust2PURE ban
39%67%
NAVI Junior · 19 mapsedge PURE +28%PURE · 2 maps
AnubisPURE ban
59%50%
NAVI Junior · 13 mapsedge NAVI Junior +9%PURE · 0 maps
AncientNAVI Junior ban
29%50%
NAVI Junior · 10 mapsedge PURE +21%PURE · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%50%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge PURE +12%PURE · 2 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
43%50%
NAVI Junior · 3 mapsedge PURE +7%PURE · 2 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
33%57%
NAVI Junior · 2 mapsedge PURE +24%PURE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
2. BanPURE remove Anubis
3. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
4. BanPURE remove Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Ancient
6. BanPURE remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
NAVI Junior 43%PURE 57%
The model gave 57% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 64%
Series resultPURE 9:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1