StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#43 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNemesis ban
67%56%
Nemesis · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +11%INFINITE · 14 maps
AncientINFINITE pick
44%58%
Nemesis · 14 mapsedge INFINITE +14%INFINITE · 8 maps
NukeNemesis pick
75%50%
Nemesis · 12 mapsedge Nemesis +25%INFINITE · 10 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
54%60%
Nemesis · 9 mapsedge INFINITE +6%INFINITE · 6 maps
InfernoINFINITE ban
60%50%
Nemesis · 11 mapsedge Nemesis +10%INFINITE · 4 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
43%40%
Nemesis · 3 mapsnearly even +3%INFINITE · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
67%60%
Nemesis · 2 mapsedge Nemesis +7%INFINITE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemesis remove Dust2
2. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
3. PickNemesis take Nuke
4. PickINFINITE take Ancient
5. BanINFINITE remove Inferno
6. BanNemesis remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
Nemesis 64%INFINITE 36%
The model gave 64% on Nemesis — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
Nemesis 34%INFINITE 66%
The model gave 66% on INFINITE — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Nemesis 60%INFINITE 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemesis — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 77%
Series resultINFINITE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3