NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
50%72%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge GenOne +22%GenOne · 49 maps
AncientNemiga pick
69%48%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +21%GenOne · 29 maps
NukeNemiga ban
56%61%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge GenOne +5%GenOne · 27 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
67%39%
Nemiga · 8 mapsedge Nemiga +28%GenOne · 14 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%60%
Nemiga · 6 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 11 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%53%
Nemiga · 0 mapsnearly even -3%GenOne · 15 maps
MirageGenOne ban
57%50%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge Nemiga +7%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickNemiga take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanNemiga remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Nemiga 26%GenOne 74%
The model gave 74% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Nemiga 73%GenOne 27%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 53%
Series resultGenOne 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2