PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#21 in the world · win 2:0series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
64%76%
Nemiga · 21 mapedge Vitality +12%Vitality · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
65%71%
Nemiga · 19 mapsedge Vitality +6%Vitality · 13 maps
CacheNemiga ban
67%73%
Nemiga · 17 mapsedge Vitality +6%Vitality · 11 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
67%43%
Nemiga · 17 mapsedge Nemiga +24%Vitality · 10 maps
AncientVitality ban
66%50%
Nemiga · 25 mapsedge Nemiga +16%Vitality · 0 maps
NukeVitality ban
68%55%
Nemiga · 18 mapsedge Nemiga +13%Vitality · 7 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
60%67%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickVitality take Dust2
5. BanVitality remove Nuke
6. BanNemiga remove Cache
DeciderMirage (65% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
Nemiga 45%Vitality 55%
The model gave 55% on Vitality — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Nemiga 33%Vitality 67%
The model gave 67% on Vitality — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 87%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2