FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 4:13
PURE#126 in the world · win 13:4The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNext Up ban
50%40%
Next Up · 0 mapsedge Next Up +10%PURE · 6 maps
Dust2PURE ban
60%67%
Next Up · 1 mapedge PURE +7%PURE · 2 maps
AncientPURE ban
50%50%
Next Up · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PURE · 2 maps
CacheNext Up ban
50%50%
Next Up · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PURE · 2 maps
InfernoNext Up ban
50%50%
Next Up · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PURE · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
Next Up · 0 mapsnearly even +0%PURE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNext Up remove Cache
2. BanPURE remove Ancient
3. BanNext Up remove Mirage
4. BanPURE remove Dust2
5. BanNext Up remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
Next Up 50%PURE 50%
The model gave 50% on Next Up — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoritePURE · 58%
Series resultPURE 4:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1