ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Noir Verse#124 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNexus ban
40%63%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Noir Verse +23%Noir Verse · 4 maps
NukeNexus ban
50%75%
Nexus · 0 mapsedge Noir Verse +25%Noir Verse · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%43%
Nexus · 0 mapsedge Nexus +7%Noir Verse · 3 maps
InfernoNoir Verse ban
43%50%
Nexus · 3 mapsedge Noir Verse +7%Noir Verse · 0 maps
AnubisNexus pick
67%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Nexus +17%Noir Verse · 0 maps
Dust2Noir Verse pick
50%50%
Nexus · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 2 maps
OverpassNoir Verse ban
50%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNexus remove Nuke
2. BanNoir Verse remove Inferno
3. PickNexus take Anubis
4. PickNoir Verse take Dust2
5. BanNoir Verse remove Overpass
6. BanNexus remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Nexus 26%Noir Verse 74%
The model gave 74% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Nexus.
Overpassprediction correct13:6
Nexus 53%Noir Verse 47%
The model gave 53% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 50%
Series resultNexus 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2