DFRAG Invitational 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
NEXVOID#74 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ground Zero#163 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
63%65%
NEXVOID · 28 mapsnearly even -2%Ground Zero · 13 maps
AncientGround Zero ban
68%50%
NEXVOID · 27 mapsedge NEXVOID +18%Ground Zero · 6 maps
Dust2NEXVOID ban
42%44%
NEXVOID · 20 mapsnearly even -2%Ground Zero · 12 maps
NukeGround Zero pick
50%60%
NEXVOID · 12 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 11 maps
AnubisGround Zero ban
57%50%
NEXVOID · 3 mapsedge NEXVOID +7%Ground Zero · 8 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
40%50%
NEXVOID · 6 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
NEXVOID · 2 mapsedge Ground Zero +10%Ground Zero · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
2. BanGround Zero remove Ancient
3. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
4. PickGround Zero take Nuke
5. BanGround Zero remove Anubis
6. BanNEXVOID remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
NEXVOID 70%Ground Zero 30%
The model gave 70% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
NEXVOID 54%Ground Zero 46%
The model gave 54% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 64%
Series resultNEXVOID 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2