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HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
NT#107 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FaZe Up Next#150 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FaZe Up Next ban
60%50%
NT · 1 mapedge NT +10%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
MirageNT pick
40%50%
NT · 1 mapedge FaZe Up Next +10%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
NukeNT ban
40%50%
NT · 1 mapedge FaZe Up Next +10%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNT remove Nuke
2. BanFaZe Up Next remove Dust2
3. PickNT take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
NT 47%FaZe Up Next 53%
The model gave 53% on FaZe Up Next — the map was taken by NT.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
NT 43%FaZe Up Next 57%
The model gave 57% on FaZe Up Next — the map was taken by NT.
Model check result
Model favoriteNT · 67%
Series resultNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2