StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
47%67%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsedge Echo +20%Echo · 5 maps
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
75%78%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 12 mapsnearly even -3%Echo · 5 maps
MirageEcho ban
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Echo · 4 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%57%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 6 mapsedge Echo +7%Echo · 3 maps
InfernoEcho ban
56%33%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +23%Echo · 2 maps
OverpassEcho pick
50%40%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +10%Echo · 6 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 2 mapsedge Echo +17%Echo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanEcho remove Mirage
3. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
4. PickEcho take Overpass
5. BanEcho remove Inferno
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (47% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
Ninjas in Pyjamas 28%Echo 72%
The model gave 72% on Echo — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Nukeprediction missed16:14
Ninjas in Pyjamas 49%Echo 51%
The model gave 51% on Echo — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 59%
Series resultNinjas in Pyjamas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2