ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNinjas in Pyjamas pick
59%67%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 18 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%Eternal Fire · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 16 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 16 maps
CacheEternal Fire pick
47%62%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsedge Eternal Fire +15%Eternal Fire · 17 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%75%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +42%Eternal Fire · 16 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
60%57%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
70%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 19 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +20%Eternal Fire · 0 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%57%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Ancient
4. PickEternal Fire take Cache
5. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
Ninjas in Pyjamas 13%Eternal Fire 87%
The model gave 87% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Ninjas in Pyjamas 56%Eternal Fire 44%
The model gave 56% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 55%
Series resultNinjas in Pyjamas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2