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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SINNERS#44 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
57%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 10 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +7%SINNERS · 10 maps
MirageSINNERS pick
50%60%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 8 mapsedge SINNERS +10%SINNERS · 11 maps
CacheSINNERS ban
22%43%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge SINNERS +21%SINNERS · 10 maps
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
65%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +15%SINNERS · 2 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
55%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +5%SINNERS · 6 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
60%60%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 mapnearly even +0%SINNERS · 11 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
44%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge SINNERS +6%SINNERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
4. PickSINNERS take Mirage
5. BanSINNERS remove Cache
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 47%SINNERS 53%
The model gave 53% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Ninjas in Pyjamas 67%SINNERS 33%
The model gave 67% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 57%SINNERS 43%
The model gave 57% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 62%
Series resultSINNERS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3