CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#147 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aantidaun#283 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubisantidaun pick
45%33%
Noir Verse · 18 mapsedge Noir Verse +12%antidaun · 2 maps
Dust2antidaun ban
52%40%
Noir Verse · 19 mapsedge Noir Verse +12%antidaun · 1 map
Mirageantidaun ban
58%50%
Noir Verse · 20 mapsedge Noir Verse +8%antidaun · 0 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
52%50%
Noir Verse · 17 mapsnearly even +2%antidaun · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
41%60%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsedge antidaun +19%antidaun · 1 map
CacheNoir Verse pick
53%50%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsnearly even +3%antidaun · 0 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
47%50%
Noir Verse · 13 mapsnearly even -3%antidaun · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
2. Banantidaun remove Mirage
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. Pickantidaun take Anubis
5. Banantidaun remove Dust2
6. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (41% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
Noir Verse 61%antidaun 39%
The model gave 61% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by antidaun.
Ancientprediction correct12:16
Noir Verse 49%antidaun 51%
The model gave 51% on antidaun — the map was taken by antidaun.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 68%
Series resultantidaun 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2