CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Noir Verse ban
46%71%
Noir Verse · 9 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +25%Bushido Wildcats · 27 maps
NukeBushido Wildcats ban
50%43%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsedge Noir Verse +7%Bushido Wildcats · 17 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
58%67%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%Bushido Wildcats · 17 maps
AnubisNoir Verse ban
42%58%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +16%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
CacheNoir Verse pick
50%56%
Noir Verse · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +6%Bushido Wildcats · 5 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
46%40%
Noir Verse · 9 mapsedge Noir Verse +6%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
44%71%
Noir Verse · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +27%Bushido Wildcats · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Dust2
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickNoir Verse take Cache
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Nuke
6. BanNoir Verse remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (44% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
Noir Verse 47%Bushido Wildcats 53%
The model gave 53% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Noir Verse 24%Bushido Wildcats 76%
The model gave 76% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Noir Verse 41%Bushido Wildcats 59%
The model gave 59% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 75%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3